(Disclaimer: I am not a doctor or medical professional; This is not medical advice or scientific fact; the following article is simply my personal findings on studying Covid-19 via the internet. The following article is not intended for anything more than a personal opinion piece.)
This blog is
going to be devoid of my usual northern sarcasm. The global situation dictates a more serious tone for a minute.
We are in unprecedented times.
That is a common phrase these days.
Yet- it almost seems as if people expect the world to continue spinning as it has.
It may never if we do not heed the warnings.
We have had warnings for years about the deadly implications of a modern-day pandemic- an how we simply are not set up to handle one. Geekwire covers how Bill Gates tried to warn us of a pandemic in 2015!
Then Trump goes and disbands any help that we might have had in 2018 but recently claims to have “known nothing about it.” The Independent
Many may not be willing to admit it, but as a Global Superpower, China did the rest of the world a very unfortunate disfavor. Wuhan, China, had warnings of the potential spread of a new SARS virus back in late December 2019.
Dr. Wenliang, the doctor that tried to tell the world about SARS-CoV-2 (but was silenced by the Chinese government), has since died.
was dead in just over a month (February 7th) from when he first got in trouble with the Wuhan Hospital Administration & the Wuhan Police (December 31st – January 3rd).
Finding information about the current situation isn’t always easy.
The internet runs on SEO (Search Engine Optimization), and sometimes that means that the highest bidder calls the shots.
At times it is important to get current information about your own country, from other country’s newspapers.
During my online endeavors, I discovered Our World In Data. They have a wealth of information that is easy to understand but backed up by science. Just my style.
Let us get right into today’s lesson.
A big question on many American minds- how at risk am I?
What to do if/when you or a loved one get sick.
-What Risk Are American’s To Covid-19? How Many Could End Up With The New Coronavirus?
-Symptoms Of Covid-19
-CDC Recommended Procedures For Dealing With SARS-CoV-2
-What We Know About The Risk Of Death & When To Head To The Hospital
WHAT RISK ARE AMERICAN’S TO COVID-19? HOW MANY COULD END UP WITH THE NEW CORONAVIRUS?
How many American’s will get the virus?
Between 160 million and 214 million people
“We’re being very, very careful
to make sure we have scientifically valid modeling that’s drawing properly on the epidemic and what’s known about the virus,” [he] Dr. Ira Longini (co-director of the Center for Statistics and Quantitative Infectious Diseases at the University of Florida), said, warning that simple calculations could be misleading or even dangerous. “You can’t win. If you overdo it, you panic everybody. If you underdo it, they get complacent. You have to be careful.”
Between 160 million and 214 million people in the United States could be infected over the course of the epidemic, according to a projection that encompasses the range of the four scenarios. That could last months or even over a year, with infections concentrated in shorter periods, staggered across time in different communities, experts said. As many as 200,000 to 1.7 million people could die. And, the calculations based on the CDC’s scenarios suggested, 2.4 million to 21 million people in the United States could require hospitalization, potentially crushing the nation’s medical system, which has only about 925,000 staffed hospital beds. Fewer than a tenth of those are for people who are critically ill.”
Fink, Sheri. “Worst-Case Estimates for US Coronavirus Deaths” New York Times, March 13th, 2020
is new and still unknown in several ways. I say that not to scare- only to support self-awareness.
It is important that despite how hard it might be to read the news every day- that we still have to.
In an earlier blog post, I referred to staying woke about SARS-CoV-2 as if it was a foreign invader coming across your borders- you should study your enemy to fight them better.
Very few people in history would likely have chosen the time that they lived through to be called upon to be heroes if they had a choice. Surviving mass genocide, living through generations of slavery, entering into a life of rape and human trafficking- yet the individuals of those times only became the heroes they are known as now because they didn’t back down when presented with the impossible decisions they faced.
One of the most famous quotes of World War II comes to mind.
“The only thing necessary for the triumph of evil is for good men to do nothing.”Edmund Burke
Of course, “good men” can be just as easily changed to “good women” or better yet, “good individuals,”- no one gets to escape the blame game.
You see shit- you speak the fuck up!
Regardless of age, gender, nationality, sexual orientations, or variables. We all have a responsibility when it comes to “See Something- Say Something.”
We all need to be a little bit more like my favorite hero-
Rifle tottin’, under five foot, female, runaway slave turned “Black Jesus.”
Araminta Ross (Harriet’s given name) and her two brothers ran away together to escape slavery. While Araminta’s brothers grew weak in the knees- Queen Minty went onto Pennsylvania alone- and later returned to the south to liberate hundreds of slaves!
She never lost a slave.
Let that sink in- baby, elderly, disabled- she saved every single last one that followed her.
Harriet is, was, and always will be my queen.
Symptoms of SARS-CoV-2 which causes covid-19
are very similar to other seasonal viruses that go around every year. Fever, cough, shortness of breath. That’s almost every influenza out there.
How to tell the difference?
“What are the symptoms this coronavirus causes?
According to the WHO, the most common symptoms of Covid-19 are fever, tiredness, and a dry cough. Some patients may also have a runny nose, sore throat, nasal congestion and aches, and pains or diarrhoea. Some people report losing their sense of taste and/or smell. About 80% of people who get Covid-19 experience a mild case – about as serious as a regular cold – and recover without needing any special treatment.
About one in six people, the WHO says, become seriously ill. The elderly and people with underlying medical problems like high blood pressure, heart problems or diabetes, or chronic respiratory conditions, are at a greater risk of serious illness from Covid-19.
In the UK, the National Health Service (NHS) has identified the specific symptoms to look for as experiencing either:
- a high temperature – you feel hot to touch on your chest or back
- a new continuous cough – this means you’ve started coughing repeatedly
As this is viral pneumonia, antibiotics are of no use. The antiviral drugs we have against flu will not work, and there is currently no vaccine. Recovery depends on the strength of the immune system.”
Sarah Boseley, Hannah Devlin, and Martin Belam “Coronavirus symptoms: what are they and should I call the doctor?” The Guardian, March 29th, 2020
Suppose you know
that you have COVID-19, or you are very probably infected.
CDC Recommended Procedures For Dealing With SARS-CoV-2
Here is the official list from The Center For Disease Control (CDC)–
“What to do if you are sick with coronavirus disease 2019“
If you are sick with COVID-19 or suspect you are infected with the virus that causes COVID-19, follow the steps below to help prevent the disease from spreading to people in your home and community.
- Stay home except to get medical care.
- You should restrict activities outside your home, except for getting medical care. Do not go to work, school, or public areas.
- Avoid using public transportation, ride-sharing, or taxis.
- Separate yourself from other people and animals in your home.
- As much as possible, you should stay in a specific room and away from other people in your home.
- Also, you should use a separate bathroom, if available.
- Wear a facemask.
- If you are not able to wear a facemask (for example, because it causes trouble breathing), then people who live with you should not stay in the same room with you, or they should wear a facemask if they enter your room.
- Cover your coughs and sneezes.
- Cover your mouth and nose with a tissue when you cough or sneeze.
- Throw used tissues in a lined trash can.
- Immediately wash your hands with soap and water for at least 20 seconds or clean your hands with an alcohol-based hand sanitizer that contains at least 60-95% alcohol covering all surfaces of your hands and rubbing them together until they feel dry.
- Soap and water should be used preferentially if hands are visibly dirty.
- Avoid sharing personal household items.
- You should not share dishes, drinking glasses, cups, eating utensils, towels, or bedding with other people or pets in your home.
- After using these items, they should be washed thoroughly with soap and water. Clean your hands often.
- Wash your hands often with soap and water for at least 20 seconds.
- If soap and water are not available, clean your hands with an alcohol-based hand sanitizer that contains at least 60% alcohol, covering all surfaces of your hands and rubbing them together until they feel dry.
- Soap and water should be used preferentially if hands are visibly dirty.
- Avoid touching your eyes, nose, and mouth with unwashed hands.
- Clean all “high-touch” surfaces every day.
- High touch surfaces include counters, tabletops, doorknobs, bathroom fixtures, toilets, phones, keyboards, tablets, and bedside tables.
- Also, clean any surfaces that may have blood, stool, or body fluids on them.
- Use a household cleaning spray or wipe, according to the label instructions. Labels contain instructions for safe and effective use of the cleaning product, including precautions you should take when applying the product, such as wearing gloves and making sure you have proper ventilation during use of the product.
- Monitor your symptoms.
Seek prompt medical attention if your illness is worsening (e.g., difficulty breathing).
Before seeking care, call your healthcare provider and tell them that you have, or are being evaluated for, COVID-19.
Put on a facemask before you enter the facility.
will help the healthcare provider’s office to keep other people in the office or waiting room from getting infected or exposed.
Ask your healthcare provider to call the local or state health department.
Persons who are placed under active monitoring or facilitated self-monitoring should follow instructions provided by their local health department or occupational health professionals, as appropriate.
- Do not handle pets or other animals while sick.
- See COVID-19 and Animals for more information.
- Call ahead before visiting your doctor.
- If you have a medical appointment, call the healthcare provider and tell them that you have or may have COVID-19.
- This will help the healthcare provider’s office take steps to keep other people from getting infected or exposed.
- You should wear a facemask when you are around other people (e.g., sharing a room or vehicle) or pets and before you enter a healthcare provider’s office.
If you have a medical emergency and need to call 911, notify the dispatch personnel that you have, or are being evaluated for COVID-19.
If possible, put on a facemask before emergency medical services arrive.
Caring for yourself or others
When Discontinuing Home Isolation:
Patients with confirmed COVID-19
should remain under home isolation precautions until the risk of secondary transmission to others is thought to be low.
The decision to discontinue home isolation precautions should be made on a case-by-case basis, in consultation with healthcare providers and state and local health departments.”
What We Know About The Risk Of Death & When To Head To The Hospital
came in incredible help. They had some very straight forward answers on difficult questions.
What do we know about the risk of dying from COVID-19?
a straightforward question that most people would like answered. If someone is infected with COVID-19, how likely is that person to die?
This question is simple, but surprisingly hard to answer. There are several numbers that can help us get towards it – statistics such as the total number of confirmed cases, and the number of deaths so far – but those measures don’t tell us everything we need to know.
Here we explain why that is, and what we can be sure about. We’ll discuss the “case fatality rate,” the “crude mortality rate,” and the “infection fatality rate,” and why they’re all different.
The key point is that the “case fatality rate,” the most commonly discussed measure of the risk of dying, is not the true answer to the question, for two reasons. One, it relies on the number of confirmed cases, and many cases are not confirmed; and two, it relies on the total number of deaths, and with COVID-19, some people who are sick and will die soon have not yet died. These two facts mean that it is extremely difficult to make accurate estimates of the true risk of death.
When to head to the hospital?
If you can handle the sickness on your own- do so. It’ll be easier for you and the health care workers. However, some individuals simply will not be able to make it on their own and should seek medical treatment!
We will turn to the CDC for more:
“When to Seek Medical Attention:
If you develop emergency warning signs
for COVID-19, get medical attention immediately. Emergency warning signs include*:
- Trouble breathing
- Persistent pain or pressure in the chest
- New confusion or inability to arouse
- Bluish lips or face
*This list is not all-inclusive. Please consult your medical provider for any other symptoms that are severe or concerning.”